Another outbreak? Karnataka's Covid-19 reproduction rate crosses 1

Thursday, 05 Aug, 2.03 am

Karnataka's effective reproduction rate (Rt) of the novel coronavirus has crossed 1, indicating the beginning of another outbreak. According to epidemiologists and analysis run by the University of Michigan, the state's effective R number is currently 1.13. If the Rt exceeds 1, each existing infection will cause more than one new infection, leading to an outbreak.

In Karnataka, there has been a 15.4% increase in the number of new cases in the last seven days. In Bengaluru Urban, cases have increased by 8.7%, but municipal officials are watching the situation carefully.

New numbers being projected by mathematical models are discomfiting.